9/16/25
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The Livestock Markets all broke today. The Fats lost over a buck today. October'25 Live Cattle were 1.15 lower today and settled at 233.45. Today's high was 234.62 ½ and the 1-month and contract high are 242.07 ½. Today's low was 232.25 and the 1-month low is 228.80. Since 8/15 October'25 Live Cattle are 2.80 higher or more than 1%. The Feeders were slightly lower in the front month, and much lower in the deferred months. The October'25 Feeder Cattle were 20 cents lower today and settled at 354.30. Today's high was 356.12 ½ and the 1-month and contract high are 369.37 ½. Today's low was 344.10 and the 1-month low is 344.10. Since 8/15 October'25 Feeder Cattle are 8.40 higher or almost 2 ½ %. The Hogs traded lower today. December'25 Hogs were 62 ½ cents lower today and settled at 88.25 ½. Today's high was 89.50 and the 1-month and Contract high are 89.57 ½. Today's low was 87.95 and the 1-month low is 81.82 ½. Since 8/15 December'25 Lean Hogs are 5.20 higher or more than 6%. The Cattle Markets have had a volatile few days, and I feel that could last for a while. Yesterday, the open interest in October'25 Live Cattle dropped 5,751 contracts, with an open interest of 79,898 contract at the close yesterday, and the open interest in December'25 Live Cattle increased 2,118 contracts, to 138,729 contracts and February'26 Live Cattle open interest rose 2,749 contracts, to 74,095 contracts. It looks like there was more rolling of contracts yesterday, than just selling. Last week there was a lot more liquidation. There is a Cattle on Feed Report this Friday, and I think we can see continued price swings going into the weekend. I still like the downside in the Cattle Markets and am still looking for a 10% correction off the contract highs. The Hogs settled lower today, but the December'25 Hogs traded to within 7 ½ cents of the contract high today. The Hogs did not close well today, and I am still looking for a December'25 Hog Price around 80.00. The 100-Day moving average is 82.77, the 200-Day moving average is 78.81, and the 50% retracement from the 52-weeek high/low is 78.26. If you have questions for me, give me a call. Have a great night.
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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. ***WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS***
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The Grain Markets were all higher again today, with the Wheat almost up a dime. The Soybeans were up nicely today. November'25 Soybeans were 7 cents higher today and settled at 1049 ¾. Today's high was 1052 ½ and the 1-month high is 1062 ¾. Today's low was 1041 ¾, and the 1-month low is 1021 ½. Since 8/15 November'25 Soybeans are 7 ¼ cents higher or almost 1%. The Corn Market rallied and made a new 1-month high today. December'25 Corn was 6 ¼ cents higher today and settled at 429 ½. Today's high was 431 ¼ and that is the new 1-month high as well. Today's low was 423 and the 1-month low is 401 ¼. Since 8/15 December'25 Corn is 22 ¼ cents higher or almost 6%. The Wheat Market looked great again today. December'25 Wheat was 9 cents higher today and settled at 534. Today's high was 534 ½ and the 1-month high is 535 ½. Today's low was 524 and the 1-month and contract low are 512. Since 8/15 December'25 Wheat is 7 cents higher or more than 1%. These Markets are going to continue to move, and I still see opportunity. The Grains have another 50 cents of upside potential, or more. There are also weather problems in Brazil, and the dryness is prohibiting planting Soybeans, that along with strong demand and potential Trade Deals with India and China looking more likely. The Soybean Oil is also at its lowest stocks level in eight months, and demand is very strong. All of that combined, makes 1150 Soybeans in January’26 very possible. The December'25 Corn set a new 1-month high today, and I feel we can see the Corn continue to rally, especially after it trades and closes above 435 ¾. That price level is the 50% retracement from the 52-week high/low. December'25 Corn closed today above the 100-Day Moving average of 427 and it looks like it has the 200-Day moving average of 440 in its sights. The December'25 Wheat has been strong, and did not disappoint today, trading to within 1-cent of the 1-month high of 535 ½. The Wheat looks like it is ready to run and the 100-Day moving average of 556 ½ is in striking distance. Above that sits the 200-Day moving average of 581 and I like that level in the Wheat. President Trump is speaking with XI, the leader of China on Friday, and positive Trade Deal News could develop over the weekend. I can have your account open before the close on Friday, if you act now. Please give me a call if I can answer any questions for you. Have a great night.
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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS
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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving from your broker, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM Sign Up Now
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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.
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December'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.
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December'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below.
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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States.
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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it.
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GOD BLESS AMERICA
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Give me a call if you have any questions.
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Bill Allen
Vice President
Pure Hedge Division
Direct: 312-957-8079
ballen@walshtrading.com
WALSH TRADING INC.
311 South Wacker Drive
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