June live cattle futures (LEM25) present a selling opportunity on more price weakness.
See on the daily bar chart for June live cattle futures that prices have dropped sharply from the contract high scored in early April. See, too, at the bottom of the chart that the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator is in a bearish posture. Severe near-term technical damage has been inflicted recently to suggest a market top is in place. While the cattle futures market has been resilient the past few months, the latest selling pressure appears too strong for a solid price recovery and any move back close to the early April high.
Fundamentally, consumer confidence has been shaken by the recent stock and financial market turmoil, which is likely to crimp demand for beef at the meat counter. Recent downbeat consumer confidence readings suggest such. Also, the important speculative traders in the live cattle futures market have been spooked by the keen risk-off trading atmosphere exhibited much of the time the past few weeks. That suggests the cattle market bulls will remain squeamish.
A move in June live cattle futures below chart support at $195.00 would give the bears fresh power and it would also become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be $185.00, or below. Technical resistance, for which to place a protective buy stop just above, is located at $200.00.
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On the date of publication,
Jim Wyckoff
did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy
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